Updated 4:14 p.m. ET
President Trump is set to unveil an immigration plan that would vastly change who’s allowed into the United States.
Trump will present the plan in a speech from the White House Rose Garden Thursday afternoon.
The new plan would focus on reducing family based immigration to the U.S. in favor of employment skill-based immigration.
But, overall, the number of green cards issued under this plan would not change, and there would no reduction in net immigration.
The bottom-line politically, said the administration official, “We want to show country that Republicans are not against immigrants.”
Democrats have not been consulted on the formulation of this plan. And getting it to pass the Democratic-controlled House or a Senate, where Republicans do not have a filibuster-proof majority, are next to impossible. But with the president up for re-election next year, the White House is making a calculation to put this plan front and center.
The plan, according to a senior administration official, addresses six issues:
- Securing the border: Finishing the border wall
- Protecting American wages: Stemming the flow of low-wage labor
- Attract and retain the best and brightest immigrants
- Prioritize nuclear families: It would limit which family members can come to the country to children and spouses
- Import labor for critical industries
- Preserve humanitarian values: Keep asylum system, but limit it.
The formula currently for who comes to the country is 12% skill-based, 66% with ties to family members and 22% humanitarian, or asylum-seekers.
Trump would change that calculation to 57% skill, 33% family, 10% humanitarian. In order to determine who is a highly skilled immigrant, people would be awarded points based on their education and their language proficiency.
But the number of green cards would stay stay the same at approximately 1.1 million per year.
Of the four pillars that the administration has always stressed — border security, citizenship, a guest-worker program and what to do with immigrants who have entered the country illegally, including DREAMers — the last two are not addressed.
President Trump has taken a hard line toward immigrants entering the country illegally or seeking asylum. It’s part of what vaulted him to the presidency and made his base loyal to him.
One key question is what tone Trump strikes in his Thursday remarks. A more moderate tone may suggest that the White House is concerned about Trump’s political standing as the 2020 election gets underway.
But Trump is notoriously unpredictable and may go off-script.